Monday, December 8, 2008


Adventures With Rush Limbaugh;
Three weeks after my testimony, and a week before the election, I got my first clue about where the buzz was being created about my plan. I went to a well-organized, exciting conference on Life-Cycle Saving at Boston University. Zvi Bodie, the nation’s leading finance economist, gathered industry leaders and academics to discuss issues in American’s retirement income security system. I sat at the table of gracious, well-dressed, and extremely knowledgeable financial industry executives, people I have grown comfortable with during my stints as a pension trustee. They stunned me by asking if my ears were burning, because I was much discussed at a previous week’s conference on 401(k) plans. What happened was that Rush Limbaugh had given a garbled version of my testimony on his Web site (complete with my photograph). In my book (and in Congress) I proposed the government set up a new plan, which would supplement Social Security, an additional place Americans could save for their retirement.

Only 50 percent of workers have pensions at work. This rate of coverage has been stagnant since the 1970s. Many people don’t know how hard it is to save. In order for an average earner to supplement Social Security benefits at the most basic level, she would have to save 5 percent out of every paycheck for 40 years. Because it is hard, I proposed the government give a tax credit of $600 (indexed for inflation) for everyone towards his or her contribution. 401(k) plans would still exist. But the truth didn’t stand a chance in the hyper-desperate time around the presidential election. The ire of the industry came when I proposed to pay for the tax credits by scaling back dramatically the tax deduction for 401(k) plans, deductions that were expanded greatly under the Bush administration. Without the tax deduction the 401(k) industry knew it would have to lower fees and provide a better, safer, product, and that is when it started a full-court media blitz against me.

William Kristol on Economic Theory and Practice

Measuring Import Prices: Implications for GDP Growth

The Catastrophe Capitalist

Empowering Pakistan: Entrepreneurs Project

Improving the Quality of Public Investments in Kosovo and Preparing the Ground for EU Funds

Brad DeLong: the Propagation Mechanism is Key

Bernanke's Burden;
The Fed's new lending occurs through programs with such baffling names as the ABCP MMMF Liquidity Facility. The mumbo jumbo aside, the Fed is lending in new ways because the old ways aren't working. Traditionally, the Fed has reduced interest rates by cutting one short-term rate (the Fed funds rate, on overnight bank loans) and assuming that, by making credit more abundant and cheaper, other rates on consumer and business loans would follow. Since September 2007, the Fed has cut the Fed funds rate from 5.25 percent to 1 percent. But some other rates have actually increased (high-quality corporate bonds were a percentage point higher in November than at the start of 2007), and some loans are unavailable at any rate.

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